Trending Matters is a column that appears at the week in hockey, occasionally in response to Twitter. In the event you’re solely going to remark to say how silly Twitter is, why not simply go have a superb cry for the slow, unhappy loss of life of your pricey web as a substitute?
The preseason begins in slightly more than two weeks and that in turn has prompted a large and growing variety of hockey publications reputable and in any other case to begin publishing their predictions for who will finish the place within the standings.
There is, as you would possibly count on, some disparity between every prediction, especially as it relates to the middle and, significantly, toward the top of the League. While this is a year in which it feels clever and simply to fee the reigning Stanley Cup winners as especially clear favorites, which is one thing you can’t all the time say although everybody does it on an annual foundation nonetheless, the fact of the matter is that the brand new playoff format, division modifications, and so on. are doing rather a lot to muddy the waters across the middle and even backside of the standings.
There is, however, a fairly clear consensus as to who it is that can end within the League’s basement.
They are, obviously, the Calgary Flames, who have been spectacularly mediocre with delusions that they have been on the very cusp of goodness for a interval of a few years.
Only lately, as in “over the last four or five months,” has Jay Feaster realized that the mandate that he try to build a playoff-worthy workforce was Sisyphian in nature, and finally stopped pushing the rock up the hill lower than midway to the highest and instead let it roll over him, so that it may bounce down and down and all the way down to the very bottom of the valley.
The hockey world appears in settlement that the Calgary Flames will be, to put it nicely, sizzling rubbish this season. And with good motive: They were a semi-competent crew within the first half of final season, with fenwick close numbers approaching 52 %, that means that that they had fifty two % of non-blocked shot makes an attempt at even energy when the rating was close, and while that may appear counter-intuitive given how unhealthy you perceived the team to have been, the excellent news is that the again half of the season greater than made up for it. Only Dallas, Buffalo and Toronto had even comparably low fenwick shut numbers within the second half, and Calgary dropped to barely more than 44 p.c, by far the biggest drop, each on a proportional and total basis, in your entire league.
This, obviously, was proper in keeping with the trades of Jay Bouwmeester and Jarome Iginla, as the staff committed laborious to the nosedive every rational observer had been screaming for in each of the prior two seasons.
Now the Flames enter the season prepared to run out more or less the identical roster, except that in addition they swapped out Alex Tanguay for David Jones (a downgrade) and Cory Sarich for Shane O’Brien (maybe an improve however nearly completely because Sarich is a catastrophe at this level in his career, somewhat than anything O’Brien brings to the table).
There’s plenty of motive to suspect that all the pieces goes to go remarkably poorly: Matt Stajan is their No. 1 heart, for starters.
That Matt Stajan, yes.
Mikael Backlund and two of a number of young-and-not-very-good guys are the Nos. 2-four. That’s an issue. So too is the team’s full lack of defensive depth.
One space you’d assume can be a serious concern is goaltending, given the truth that they seem content with rolling a tandem of kind-of-rookie/pretty KHLer Kari Ramo and profession backup’s backup Joey MacDonald, with Miikka Kiprusoff having shuffled off the NHL career coil moderately meekly and largely without fanfare. But in actuality, the Calgary netminders’ statistics last season had been the worst within the league since folks started maintaining monitor of the statistics in query (a group save proportion of889, and none of that is a typo). So whereas no sane crew has ever said to themselves, “This guy who wasn’t even the very best goaltender last season in his bizarre foreign league that stinks and Joey MacDonald are our guys,” these two goalies might absolutely stink next season — a very actual possibility — and still be better than their predecessors by a pretty respectable margin, which is form of superb if you think about it.
But here’s the factor about these first- and second-half splits: By way of 24 video games, the Flames had been nonetheless dead final in the West, and only two factors ahead of the Florida Panthers. That’s with their having carried out relatively nicely in terms of possession. That they only picked up another 20 factors in the final 24 video games of the season may need even been a little bit generous.
This is a team that’s going to be absolutely putrid, and their competitors is about to get tougher. Calgary is now loaded out of a division with softer opponents just like the Avalanche and Oilers, who completed inside three points of the Flames on both side, and into one that includes titans like San Jose and Los Angeles.
That this crew wasn’t the worst in its division before says so much concerning the quality thereof, and that it’s about to be the worst by a large margin speaks volumes concerning the pummeling it has coming to it over the coming six-plus months.
Really, only the Panthers will give them a run for his or her money in this explicit race to the bottom they usually likewise come into a new division designed to beat their brains out, however given all of the young expertise on their NHL roster they’ve stockpiled from years of being “sort of dangerous” to “actually unhealthy” (your Jonthan Huberdeaus, your Dmitry Kulikovs, your Erik Gudbransons, your Nick Bjugstads, your Aleksander Barkovs) while the Flames have Sven Baertschi and that’s more or less it.
Calgary must be really and deeply dangerous, though, to get down into the low 60s or high 50s which have typified the worst teams of the shootout period. Those sides, like the 2005-06 St. Louis Blues (56 factors and a minus-ninety five objective differential), 2006-07 Flyers (303 goals allowed), or 2008-09 Islanders (who won simply 9 highway video games all season), are going to be tough to stack up towards.
To end that badly, or actually, wherever safely in the backside two or three, you might want to get many unfortunate (or, put one other and extra correct approach for this state of affairs, fortunate) bounces over eighty two video games. I am talking injuries to key gamers, working into opponents when they’re at their hottest, and so forth. You additionally must be keen to offload anyone even remotely good and over the age of 30 nonetheless on your roster at the deadline, and most of all you want a total organizational commitment to not being very good at all, and failing by placing children as inexperienced as potential in high-leverage conditions simply to see how they do (then they should carry out like you’d expect).
However, that’s what Calgary appears, at long last, to have committed to doing.
Years too late, certain, however they did it.
That’s what ought to give Calgary fans who want them to bottom out as hard as humanly doable this season a little bit pause. When was the final time the Flames appropriately did something they got down to do?
Calgary Flames are going to be monumentally bad
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